Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000541 0.000608 0.000682 0.000772 0.000878 0.001001 0.001156
2024-12-15 0.000438 0.000527 0.000636 0.000782 0.000977 0.001233 0.001607
2024-12-22 0.000376 0.000474 0.000603 0.000790 0.001063 0.001465 0.002135
2024-12-29 0.000334 0.000437 0.000580 0.000801 0.001150 0.001715 0.002783
2025-01-05 0.000305 0.000411 0.000565 0.000816 0.001242 0.001996 0.003609
2025-01-12 0.000274 0.000378 0.000534 0.000800 0.001276 0.002183 0.004348
2025-01-19 0.000259 0.000366 0.000532 0.000827 0.001390 0.002559 0.005742
2025-01-26 0.000234 0.000335 0.000496 0.000792 0.001379 0.002669 0.006532
2025-02-02 0.000220 0.000321 0.000485 0.000797 0.001447 0.002984 0.008189
2025-02-09 0.000210 0.000312 0.000483 0.000818 0.001554 0.003437 0.010806
2025-02-16 0.000201 0.000303 0.000478 0.000834 0.001655 0.003923 0.014242
2025-02-23 0.000195 0.000299 0.000481 0.000865 0.001798 0.004608 0.019960
2025-03-02 0.000187 0.000292 0.000480 0.000891 0.001946 0.005438 0.029182
2025-03-09 0.000175 0.000276 0.000460 0.000872 0.001973 0.005876 0.037431
2025-03-16 0.000167 0.000265 0.000450 0.000874 0.002060 0.006627 0.053083
2025-03-23 0.000160 0.000258 0.000444 0.000886 0.002181 0.007647 0.081648
2025-03-30 0.000154 0.000251 0.000441 0.000902 0.002327 0.008964 0.137197
2025-04-06 0.000146 0.000240 0.000424 0.000884 0.002347 0.009641 0.195276
2025-04-13 0.000142 0.000237 0.000427 0.000914 0.002557 0.011771 0.433306
2025-04-20 0.000133 0.000223 0.000404 0.000874 0.002488 0.011940 0.567836
2025-04-27 0.000128 0.000217 0.000399 0.000880 0.002603 0.013697 1.292500
2025-05-04 0.000125 0.000214 0.000399 0.000904 0.002804 0.016637 5.646117
2025-05-11 0.000122 0.000211 0.000398 0.000923 0.002994 0.020036 79.646254